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Use of Expert Panels in Developing Land Use Forecasts

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Proceedings of a Peer Exchange (October 23-24, 2002) sponsored by the Travel Model Improvement Program, Federal Highway Administration and the U.S. Department of Transportation

FHWA-EP-03-018

Executive Summary

The following report summarizes the results of a peer exchange on the use of expert panels to forecast the impact that transportation projects and programs have on land use and development. The exchange, organized and sponsored by the Travel Model Improvement Program (TMIP) , brought together representatives of state and local departments of transportation (DOTs), metropolitan planning organizations (MPOs), academics, and transportation consultants. Case studies presented at the exchange show that expert panels can not only be cost-effective, but can also produce results that could improve upon other methods (such as land use models). Participants in the exchange identified the benefits of expert panels, their key characteristics, issues associated with their use, and lessons for using them effectively. The group also drafted recommendations for USDOT action to promote more widespread use of expert panels. In addition to a written report, video excerpts of the exchange will be made available on the TMIP website.


Table of Contents

The Travel Model Improvement Program
The Peer Exchange
Summary of Presentations
Peer Exchange Summary Observations
Recommendations

Appendix

Peer Exchange Agenda
List of Participants